Finally, the map can be populated randomly or more East-to-West, based on actual poll closing times. Bbc weather alicante october. It's almost here - the moment we've all been waiting for - View your games and progress over time. Sprocket for 2 15/16 shaft 140 chain. Please enter a name, party, and color for each candidate. See the Use Simplified Version of the Electoral College Calculator, Electoral College Calculator and Map Generator - 2024. had on the election, we considered the scenario in which several of the primary major party candidates were also o cial candidates in the nal presidential election. We then applied these estimates at the county level and used a statistical technique (called iterative proportional fitting) to fit the estimates to actual vote results before reconstructing them at the state level. Whites without college degrees are the bedrock of Donald Trump's coalition: Mitt Romney carried them by more than 20 percentage points in 2012, and Trump is on pace to well exceed that showing. Who will protect women from the courts and legislatures? Edited by Anna Brand. Or Don't. The election is your choice. Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse. Brian wahlbrink sugar pine realty gmac Six13 songs pk. Non-Hisp. presidents in American history. Biden may be ahead in the polls, but key battlegrounds that the Democrats lost unexpectedly in 2016 could come through again for Trump. The simulator is largely based on a data-driven presidential model created by JHK forecasts. Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine. Election simulation data from the Economist election model . In the 1992 election, Ross Perot was such a candidate, winning approximately 19% of the popular vote and having over 30% of the nal vote in Maine and 27% in Utah [2]. Trumps unpopularity among white voters with college degrees could be his Achilles heel and Hillary Clintons salvation. We'll update the electoral vote after updating the number of electors the state gets. FiveThirtyEight Polls-Plus Forecast Rep./Dem. Click on this interactive map to create your own projections for the 2020 presidential race, see. Created by Dan Fernholz and Ric Fernholz. Walk the fine line between appealing to your base and winning a majority of the votes. Each candidate comes with a modern perspective on all of the hot current issues and is ready to fight for the 2016 presidency. [read full article], Hard to believe there are only 6 weeks until election day! Data Updated: Tue Nov 03 2020 04:02:43 GMT-0800 (Pacific Standard Time) . Map created by Ste Kinney-Fields. Reset Map Share Map You predict Joe Biden will win with 306 votes! Election Simulator 2016 is the result of being fed up with the 2016 election. It was started during the 2016 elections and now it has been updated for the 2020 election. The Excel workbook contains an election simulator that allows you to predict who will win each state, whilst keeping count of the Electoral College votes. Independent Evan McMullin received 21.5% of the vote in Utah; best '3rd party' performance in any single state since Ross Perot in 1992, Libertarian Gary Johnson received over 3% of the nationwide vote; best 3rd party performance nationwide since Ross Perot in 1996. Senate Forecast Kentucky Gov Forecast. The goal of this report . The answers will affect your popularity for better or worse, both nationally and in individual states. African-Americans are consistently Democrats best demographic group. Save your Map Democratic Republican Under a 269-269 tie, the Constitution states that the House of Representatives decides the President. The sample of 100 outcomes below gives you a good idea of the range of scenarios our model thinks is possible. 10.5%. For Mac, iPad, and iPhone: About the Game Election Manager 2016 is an abstract strategic election simulation game where you manage your ticket in an attempt to get your candidate elected to the office of President of the United States. Choose a county (or several) to move to a new state. The probabilities will be determined by polling, particularly as that becomes more frequent. You are an American. Select the Run Simulation button to conduct a simulated 2020 presidential election. The probabilities will be determined by polling, particularly as that becomes more frequent. The way the site is structured, we can only have one simulation pairing, and so we've chosen to launch (rather than wait) with the most likely fall match-up. Can you take Biden to victory? Win the White House is among the seven games that were cited for excellence in 2020 by International Serious Play Awards Program. To build a baseline model of the 2020 presidential election we started with the results of the 2016 election, measuring the support for President Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton by . And since that wasn't enough . The Democratic incumbent, aged 79, passes on what would be a fairly easy path to a fourth term, He faces little opposition from within the Democratic Party; Possible Rematch with Donald Trump in 2024, The final Secretary of State under Donald Trump did not rule out a future campaign, It will be the 12th time Chicago has hosted the Democrats; the GOP will gather in Milwaukee for their convention in mid-July, Several other cities are holding mayoral elections or primaries, The probabilities will be determined by polling, particularly as that becomes more frequent. One of only 5 elections (1824, 1876, 1888, 2000, 2016) where the popular vote winner was defeated Hillary Clinton first female presidential nominee of a major political party Clinton won Maine but Trump earned an electoral vote by winning the popular vote in the 2nd Congressional District. We simulate the election 40,000 times to see who wins most often. DeSantis critical of China, hazy on Ukraine as he charts foreign policy path. *No district-level delegates from Pennsylvania are allocated because those delegates are directly elected without indicating presidential preference. For now, a combination of polling, 2012 actual and pundit projectionsare considered. Non-college-educated whites skew older and rural and will be 46 percent of eligible voters in 2016, down from 49 percent in 2012. Dem Votes. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast. This article was published more than6 years ago. Development and design by Robin Muccari, Nigel Chiwaya, Jiachuan Wu and Sophie Andrews. ET. Defeat each candidate to unlock them for general . 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Study. How to play? Adjust the Turnout and Two-Party Vote to Simulate 2016 Presidential Election Scenarios. This simulation uses a set of assumptions based on the results of the Republican primary so far. [read full article], The Political Machine has always been a game that gets users excited for the upcoming Copyright 2023 Stardock Entertainment. Clinton majority wins at least 50 percent of the vote. This simulation uses a set of assumptions based on the results of the Republican primary so far. Clinton won Washington; however three electors cast votes for Colin Powell, one for Faith Spotted Eagle, Trump won Texas; however one elector cast a vote for Ron Paul, another for John Kasich, Clinton won Hawaii; however one elector cast a vote for Bernie Sanders. After this standardization process, we then take a mean average of these daily entries in order to present the polling average. The 270toWin simulator has returned for 2016, currently featuring the most likely November match-up: Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump. Default All Democratic All Republican All Tossup All Blank Tossup Only Tilt or Less Lean or Less Likely or Less Solid or Less 2000 Actual 2004 Actual 2008 Actual 2012 . However, they turn out at lower rates than whites with degrees, and their share of the electorate shrinks every four years. The states are not interactive on the map unless the split is . Multiplayer: Turning friends into frenemies. Battle for your spot in the White House against some of the most famous (and infamous!) First, we calculated the average share of the vote for each position (first place through fourth place) in all contests through Super Tuesday, with some adjustments made for cases where there would be fewer than four candidates. All rights reserved. No delegates are allocated for Guam, American Samoa and North Dakota because they arent holding presidential preference votes and their delegates are unbound. Methodology. Barring some sort of stunning development, we're headed for a Donald Trump-Hillary Clinton fight in November -- the sort of outcome that Americans in other dimensions are using as jokes to start their news articles. Last updated April 27, 2016 at 11:08 p.m. Have fun. Follow Race to the WH on. This game was built using Twine. Results can now split Maine and Nebraska, as there is at least some possibility that one congressional district in each of those states may be competitive in November. Sources: Trump win Biden. It is 2016. Reporting and analysis from the Hill and the White House, The Fixs 2016 Create Your Own Electoral College Map simulator. scenarios below for examples. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. These are the states that had a lower than 3% margin in 2016 or switched from red to blue/blue to red between 2008 and 2016. The state-by-state vote share breaks down as follows: The simulation accounts for state-by-state rules as well. The electoral map has shifted in 2020, amid new challenges from misinformation to mail-in ballots. For the Bernie Sanders fans out there, we continue to maintain the, Maryland Sen. Ben Cardin Won't Seek Reelection Next Year, President Biden Launches Campaign for Reelection, Mike Pompeo Will Not Run for President in 2024, Chicago to Host 2024 Democratic Convention, Live Results: Elections for Wisconsin Supreme Court, Chicago Mayor Headline a Busy Tuesday. Aside from 1872 - death of Horace Greeley - it is the greatest number since electors began casting one vote each for president and vice president (12th Amendment, 1804). (Defaults are from 2020), Show Map Link (for use in uselectionatlas.org forum posts only), Calculator for Another Year: 13.5%. This is likely to favour the Republicans, in which case Trump would end up staying in the White House. See how changes in voter turnout and support could shift the outcome of the 2020 election. Steam and the Steam logo are trademarks and/or registered trademarks of Valve Corporation in the U.S. and/or other countries. But it's not just any ol' electoral map simulator; we made a tool that lets you also 1) jump to particular scenarios and 2) see how the states have voted in the past. "The definitive 2016 election game!" - said no one. States shown here did not allocate all their available electoral votes to one candidate. The Republican ticket of businessman Donald Trump and Indiana Governor Mike Pence defeated the Democratic ticket of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and U.S. Sorry but an error occured. The split can be edited in this table. All Games > Simulation Games > Election simulator. Created February 25, 2021 It will take at least 270 electoral votes for a presidential candidate to win the 2020 election. States Choosing Electors using Winner-take-all Method: (Prefer a Simpler Version?) Something isn't right about this candidate. This isn't Earth 6. Campaign Trail results and averages by election: 2020 2016 2016a 2012 2000 1988 1976 1968 1960 1948 1916 1896 1860 1844 Tweet How do you stack up? However, Latino voters tend to turn out at lower rates than whites and African-Americans and are heavily concentrated in non-battleground states, such as California, New York and Texas, limiting their influence in the Electoral College. Campaign Trail has been modified to support additional scenarios here (including nearly every recent election and many older ones). a campaign assistant working to elect her candidate. States Choosing Electors using Winner-take-all Method: (Prefer a Simpler Version? ) US election live follow all the latest updates. Maine and Nebraska award one electoral vote to the winner of the popular vote in each congressional district and two electoral votes to the statewide winner. Skew results Democratic Republican Use Preset Result Data *Uses current state electoral vote count 1. There were seven faithless presidential electors. Previously reliable states on both sides are now looking more competitive. The map above shows how the 2016 US Presidential election might go if only one demographic group got the vote. Select a year and a candidate to find out. To build a baseline model of the 2020 presidential election we started with the results of the 2016 election, measuring the support for President Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton by race, college education and age in each state. Vote Share (%) Turnout (%) Rep Votes. Electoral College Calculator and Map Generator - 2024 Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse. View our Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) about next steps for this game and site. Just kidding! Clinton wins popular vote but loses Electoral College. However, like Latinos, these voters are heavily concentrated in less competitive states such as California, Hawaii and Washington. Contact us at electionscenarioexplorer@gmail.com. You will answer questions about your platform and positions, and also about your campaign strategy. By Aaron Bycoffe and David Wasserman. The 270toWin simulator has returned for 2016, currently featuring the most likely November match-up: Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump. McMullin wins at least one electoral vote. Then click the Move button and the state you want to move your counties to. Ted puts Hillary's reputation to the test. Please try again later. This marked the first time that Maine has split its electoral vote since it moved away from the winner-take-all method in 1972. To change a state's party, click on an individual state on the U.S. map. Nothing has been posted to this project page yet. Additional contributions from Allison McCann. Election Manager 2016 is an abstract strategic election simulation game where you manage your ticket in an attempt to get your candidate elected to the office of President of the United States. Some states remain very likely to go to Biden or Trump because they were won by large margins in 2016, or they have voted the same way in several recent elections. [read full article], 64 MB DirectX 9.0c 3DVideo Card with PixelShader 2.0 Support. Do you have what it takes to go down in history?